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« Congress shoots down judicial loan modification...AGAIN! | Main | Negative equity tops $745Billion; Pressure on lenders for principal reduction or deferment may be growing... »

National conversion rate of loan mods from trial to permanent status is only 8%

By Professor Jean Braucher

Jean Braucher is the Roger C.  Henderson Professor of Law at the University of Arizona James E. Rogers College  of Law.  This article is based on a longer paper, available for free at http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1518098).

The Obama Administration originally envisioned bankruptcy modification as a companion to HAMP.  The  House passed a bill to achieve that goal, only to see it stall in the  Senate.  An attempt to get the legislation moving again in the House  failed on December 11, but the more problems with HAMP become apparent,  the greater the chances that bankruptcy modification might ultimately  be enacted.

Low quantity. Only 31,382 modifications were made permanent in the first eight months of  HAMP, which became operational last April and committed $75 billion to help  three to four million borrowers avoid foreclosure.  In response to these poor results, Treasury  launched a "Conversion Campaign" to get as many as possible of another 697,026  pending trial plans converted into permanent ones. 

Comparing the permanent  modifications at the end of November to the 386,865 trial plans at the end of  August (giving them three months to become final), the conversion rate has been  about eight percent, equivalent to chances of a college applicant getting into  Harvard or Yale.

A Treasury official used police and  military rhetoric to describe its campaign: "SWAT teams" of Treasury staff are  now "imbedded" at servicers in an "escalation process." So if you have clients  who could benefit from HAMP modifications, now is a good time to contact the  program's "Hope Hotline":  1-888-995-HOPE (4673). 

Treasury also acknowledged  persistent accounts of servicers "losing" documents and asks borrowers and  their counselors to report program violations.   That's another action item for you if you have clients who have been  given the runaround.  Other servicer  violations should also be reported, such as conducting foreclosure sales while  reviews or trial plans are in progress, charging for evaluation, or offering  noncomplying plans that are more expensive than HAMP calls for. Gross monthly  mortgage payments are supposed to be reduced to 31 percent of gross monthly  income.  Any of these practices could  make a good basis for state Unfair and Deceptive Practices (UDAP) actions, typically  carrying statutory damages and attorneys' fees.

Low quality. Principal reduction is not required under HAMP and is rarely given.  Three-quarters of borrowers are left  underwater, often seriously so, with the principal obligation on average at 137  percent of the home's current value, according to the Congressional Oversight  Panel report last October.  Borrowers who later lose income are stuck,  unable to sell and pay off the loan or refinance.  Temporary interest rate  breaks are the way affordability is achieved, without principal reduction, and  that creates high risk of redefault, especially given high unemployment. 

The Obama Administration  originally envisioned bankruptcy modification as a companion to HAMP.  The House twice passed bills to achieve that  goal, only to see them stall in the Senate.  An attempt to get the  legislation moving again in the House failed on December 11, but the more  problems with HAMP become apparent, the greater the chances that bankruptcy  modification might ultimately be enacted.

Alternatively, HAMP's  guidelines could include principal reduction as a standard tool when needed to  keep borrowers in their homes, something Treasury could implement itself.   As is, many HAMP modifications are not going to be sustainable. 

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